Our Blog

DWM is committed to learning for its team, clients and friends. In this changing world, it’s extremely important to stay current in all areas impacting your financial future.

We encourage all of team members to “drill down” on current topics important to you and contribute to our weekly blogs.  Questions from our clients and their families are often featured in our blogs.  

Financial literacy for clients and their families is very important to us.  We generally hold an annual wealth management seminar for all of our clients.  We encourage regular, at least semi-annual, meetings in person with our clients to review family updates, progress on financial goals, asset allocation and performance of investments.  We’re happy to assist younger members of the family as part of our total wealth management program.

Here’s our latest blog:

 

 

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Yuck!

Written by Brett Detterbeck.

 
There’s no way to sugarcoat it – stocks just had their worst week since the financial crisis. Most stocks are officially in correction territory, meaning down over 10% since their recent highs. The uncertainty thrown into the global economic outlook from the coronavirus is the culprit of this mess. And unfortunately, it will most likely be a while before we do get any certainty there, which means more stock market volatility. Which in turn can create a lot of anxiety for investors.
 
As we said in our related coronavirus blog earlier in the week: humans are not wired for disciplined investing and usually trade poorly based on fear. It’s times like these when we are here as your financial Sherpa to remind you to “STAY THE COURSE”. The market will recover just like it did after the great financial crisis and the twelve other major disease outbreaks in the last 20 years. Further, our clients’ portfolios aren’t 100% tied to the stock market and take on a balanced approach. Fixed income and alternatives are asset classes that can behave quite differently and help cushion the blow in a snap-pullback like this.
 
For more insight, please read this very informative article about the coronavirus and market declines put out by Dimensional, an investment company home to renowned professors Eugene Fama and Kenneth French. We’d like to highlight the following excerpt from that which is: “We can’t tell you when things will turn or by how much, but our expectation is that bearing today’s risk will be compensated with positive expected returns. That’s been a lesson of past health crises, such as the Ebola and swine-flu outbreaks earlier this century, and of market disruptions, such as the global financial crisis of 2008–2009. Additionally, history has shown no reliable way to identify a market peak or bottom. These beliefs argue against making market moves based on fear or speculation, even as difficult and traumatic events transpire.”
 
STAY THE COURSE.

 

https://dwmgmt.com/

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Coronavirus & the Dow down 1000+ points: Time to Panic?

Written by Brett Detterbeck.

Wuhan with Mask

The new coronavirus, dubbed COVID-19, has led to 80,000 infections and over 2600 deaths since originating in Wuhan, China in December 2019. This outbreak which the World Health Organization (“WHO”) has said is a “public health emergency of international concern” is a true human tragedy. Pretty scary at first glance, but taken in context it’s not so different from the normal flu. According to Centers of Disease Control, this season through February 7, more than 19 million people just in the US had caught the flu of which 10,000 died from it. 

While the flu is caused by any of several different types and strains of influenza viruses, COVID-19 is caused by one virus, the novel 2019 coronavirus, now called severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, or SARS-CoV-2.  When looking at the symptoms of COVID-19, we find that they are similar to that of the influenza (flu) virus, i.e. cough, runny nose, sneezing, sore throat, fever, headache, etc. Symptoms for both COVID-19 and the flu can be mild or severe and can result in pneumonia which can lead to death. According to WHO, the infection has been fatal in 2-4% of cases within Wuhan, but in less than 1% elsewhere. Rates go up for the elderly and those without sophisticated health care providers. Again, pretty similar to the normal flu.

Both COVID-19 and the flu can be spread from person to person through droplets in the air from an infected person sneezing, coughing, or just talking. Neither virus is treatable with antibiotics. Good news is that there has been promising work in the drug and vaccine space against COVID-19 but those need to be tested. Prevention methods for both include frequent, thorough hand washing, staying home when sick and limiting contact with those infected.

It’s still unclear as to how this situation will unfold and how much spreading of COVID-19 will take place. Fortunately, the immediate health risk for the general American public is low at this time. Further, it appears that China is getting the disease under control as the pace of infections (as represented by the “daily tally of new cases”) peaked a few weeks ago and has since steadily declined. However, reports over the weekend showed that the coronavirus is not only just appearing in other countries but unfortunately accelerating in some like Iran, South Korea, and Italy. The Italy news has many worried that Europe could be in the first innings of the ballgame China has been stuck in.

We’ve talked before how the stock market doesn’t like uncertainty and a virus like this only compounds that. We know in China that business has been severely affected. Not only are people avoiding going out to the movies and having fun outside, they’ve been told to stay home to stop further contagion. Most factories have basically been shut down since the Lunar New Year. These Chinese factories help produce many goods needed by world-wide manufacturers. If XYZ Company in Canada can’t get that one particular China-made good that goes into its finished project, it’s stuck in limbo until things clear up. Thus, we basically have a global supply-side shock in the making. Not good for the global economy! And don’t forget that China now accounts for 15% of the whole world GDP. Talk about ripple effect!

The odd thing that happened is that when COVID-19 gained notoriety in January, the US stock market sold off only to quickly recover and just recently was trading at record highs. The market shrugged off the bad news, putting it into the “one-time” event category or figuring that the global central banks would turn more dovish on rates and thus come to the rescue.

But the weekend news about Iran, South Korea, and Italy as well as the warning that an extended Chinese shutdown could cost the world up to $1 trillion in lost output, brought the fear back. Which led to the DOW’s worst trading day in two years, down over 1000 points yesterday!

So is it time to panic? Of course not.

COVID-19 is a terrible disease outbreak. Unfortunately, it’s not the first and it won’t be the last. We’ve seen this happen before; just think of the following: Ebola, Zika, Swine Flu, SARS. Let’s take a look at the market reaction to some of these:

Market reacts during virus outbreaks

The stock market sold off in all of these cases indeed. But more importantly is to see how the market recovered. 

market heals after disease outbreak

As you can see, in most cases, the market typically recovers within six months.

We come back to our old saying of: control what you can control and don’t get emotional from the things you cannot.

Moreover, don’t let short-term market events alter your long-term planning. Unfortunately, humans are not wired for disciplined investing and usually trade poorly based on fear. So avoid that mistake by staying invested and staying disciplined and focusing on things that can be controlled:

  • Create an investment plan to fit your needs and risk tolerance
  • Identify an appropriate asset allocation target mix
  • Structure a well-balanced, diversified portfolio
  • Reduce expenses through low turnover and via passive investments where available
  • Minimize taxes by using asset location, tax loss harvesting, etc.
  • Rebalance on a regular basis, taking advantage of market over-reactions by buying at low points of the market cycle and selling at high points
  • Stay Invested

If you’d like to further discuss how disease outbreaks affect your portfolio and/or long-term financial planning, don’t hesitate to contact us.

 

https://dwmgmt.com/

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Women in the Workplace

Written by Penn Boatwright.

women in the workplace 2

 

As a woman in a modern day workplace, my experiences have been mostly positive, although I am still in shock of things said to me, or how I have been previously treated in professional settings. Since coming to Detterbeck Wealth Management in November I have felt comfortable, respected, like I fit in, but I can’t help but imagine what it was like in the 1960s when women were first entering the workforce. After the feminism movement, and women getting the opportunity to vote, they began to have access to ‘paying work’ in coed environments. At first, they were only allowed to work in poor status or low paid occupations, and earning much less than men doing the same line of work. As the 20th century progressed, the labor market shifted and women moved into longer-term jobs like education, banking and office work that doesn’t require manual labor. And now during the 21st century, labor intensive jobs are populated by both genders!

 

Unfortunately, women in the workplace aren’t as equal as some people think. In the finance industry, women make up 15% on the executive level. In 2014, women made up about 33% of the legal profession while men made up 67%, per the American Bar Association. In major technology companies, 70% of the workforce is men, says The Muse. According to healthline, in 1965, 1 in 10 US medical school students were women, and in 2016 they reported it was up to 51%, as most physicians nowadays are women. But why are these stats important? Because women are pivotal in the workplace!

 

One of the biggest advantages women bring to the workplace is communication skills. Women are known to be easier to talk to, listen better, and bounce positive ideas off of coworkers in meetings, therefore boosting brainstorming and morale. Since women usually have more of a nurturing appearance and tone, people are drawn to opening up to them resulting in a comforting bond. This also creates a well-rounded workforce when women use intuition, sensitivity and emotional intelligence to read verbal cues and body language that can help solve problems and make team productivity excel.

 

Another advantage of having women in the workplace is that women are recognized to handle their emotions better than men. They can remain calm and keep composure when an unexpected situation makes things tough. Being able to have employees and partners that are not phased when anything goes awry is crucial in maintaining consistency in a workplace.

 

Women are also known to be incredible managers from their analytical skills of being detail oriented, which comes in handy for negotiation too, alongside great communication skills.

 

Lastly, but certainly not the final reason, women are great in the workplace because of their strong morals and ethics. From the treatment women receive daily, not just in work, women strive to be in environments that are fair and just. Having people on your team that want to do the right thing, and treat people the right way, will reduce unethical business by making appropriate decisions more often. This mindset will have companies taking steps forward constantly, rather than taking avoidable steps back.

 

As Payscale researched, the gender pay gap difference has shrunk in the last decade, but still remains. In 2019, women made $.79 cents for every dollar men made, and race and job descriptions can still affect that $.79 cents. Women have proven to increase rapport, create positivity in environments and motivate others as they continue to persist themselves. Equal opportunity and perception towards women is essential and can only progress society, the economy, the business world, and is all women want. With the examples above, women create a togetherness in bonds and strong team spirit that no one should miss out on, ever!

 

https://dwmgmt.com/

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