Happy Fourth of July!

From all of us here at DWM, we hope you and your families have a wonderful Fourth of July holiday weekend! Despite the crazy times, we hope you’re able to celebrate with loved ones, enjoy great food, and enjoy the warm weather (and hopefully fireworks if your community is still doing them)!

Along with these celebrations, we hope that you remember the most famous lines from the Declaration of Independence: “We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness.”

While those sage words may have been written all the way back in 1776, they still ring true today in their ineffable importance. All Americans are created equal and must be treated equally. We hope that each of you are able to commemorate these words and enjoy your Holiday!

https://dwmgmt.com/

Traditional vs. Roth 401(k): Where Should I Be Putting my Money?

Recently, we have had quite a few conversations reviewing the age-old debate of whether Roth 401(k)s or Traditional 401(k)s are better. Well perhaps not age-old considering Roth 401(k)s came out in 2006, but still a common question with no quick answer. To start, let’s clarify exactly what a 401(k) is and how a Roth 401(k) compares and contrasts to a Traditional version.

Starting in 1980, the first 401(k) program was established through Johnson Companies. This retirement program provides employees the ability to shift their income straight from payroll into an investment account just for them. In a Traditional 401(k) plan, this shift comes in the form of deferred payment. Previously being reliant on company-set pension schedules, 401(k) plans transfers the legwork and adoptability of retirement savings away from company management and into the hands of workers themselves. Through this vehicle, employees can take a portion of their pay on a regular schedule that would normally be included in their check and instead deposit it into a corporate-structured, employee-managed investment account. These plans quickly became a company favorite, with over 50% of current companies either already providing these plans or considering it today.

Additionally, 401(k)s provide employees with an additional benefit: Tax-deferral for contributions. While contribution amounts to this account are capped annually ($19,500 for 2020 without catch-up), all amounts transferred are considered tax-deferred, i.e., employees can directly reduce their taxable income in the year contributed by their total contribution amount for that year. For example, if you were paid $100,000 in 2020 and deferred $19,000 into your 401(k), your total taxable income for 2020 would be $81,000.

For years, Traditional 401(k)s (and by proxy extremely similar accounts such as 403bs or 457s), dominated the market of employer retirement plans as they were one of the only real players in the game. However, in 2006, Roth 401(k)s (which are modeled after Roth IRAs created in 1997) shook all of that up. Why? Because these Roth plans offer up no current year tax deduction, but once contributed, the principal is never taxed again and the earnings are never taxed. Not to mention that since the contributions are already taxed, if rolled into a Roth IRA upon retirement, there are no required minimum distributions (“RMD”s) during the account owners lifetime, and beneficiaries are not taxed as well which provides some extra incentive for individuals who look to provide significant inheritances to their loved ones.

The addition of this designation to retirement plans opened up a lot of questions that we’ve seen over the past few years as more and more employers begin to offer the option. The most prevalent one being the titular “How much should I be investing in my Roth 401(k) vs my Traditional 401(k)?”. And the answer may not be as simple as it seems at first glance.

The taxability of the contributions to each is the driving factor behind deciding which form of retirement plan works the best for each client. The long term understanding of tax rates can help clear up this picture. Take the situation below for example:


Chart 1: Value of Roth vs. Traditional 401(k)

As stated in the blurb above the figures given in Chart 1, the calculations hinge based on tax rates over time. In theory, both accounts end up holding the same net value. However, the idea that tax rates over time will remain the same is highly unlikely. The 2017 Tax Act cut rates initially but they gradually ascend back to the former, higher rates. Further, with trillions of dollars of U.S. debt hanging over our heads, tax rates look to go up in the coming years. The result of this expected increase in tax rate indicates that the tax on the Traditional (also known as “regular”) 401(k) column shown in Chart 1 should be bumped up to something like 32% or higher, resulting in 4% less overall value of Traditional 401(k) assets than that of the Roth 401(k). While that may be only $1,200 dollars less in the example above, the larger the 401(k) value at retirement age the more significant this difference will be. Then again, this example assumes you stay at the same income now and in the future which may not be realistic. For many retirement will likely drop them into a lower tax bracket. As such, the Traditional 401(k) may make more sense. For a fun analysis to play around with this idea, try using this calculator.

One additional consideration not shown in the above chart is that additional taxable income in retirement years can also cause Traditional 401(k)s to have less appeal than Roth 401(k)s. If you expect to get a sizeable pension, annuity payout, or other income stream during retirement, the tax-deferral of the Traditional 401(k) contributions works less in your favor as you’ll likely be taxed at a similar or (in rare circumstances) higher rate than that of when you were working.

Further, the younger an individual is, the more likely that they will be in a lower tax bracket than when they look to retire. For this reason, we generally hope to see young individuals contributing at least 50% of their 401(k) contributions towards their Roth 401(k).

Here’s a different situation in which Traditional 401(k)s may be a better option. For example, if your current year income totals slightly above the current year tax bracket, it would likely be more beneficial to contribute more to a Traditional 401(k) in order to drop down a bracket and have all your income taxed at a lower current year rate.

At the end of the day, there are many variables to consider when choosing between a Traditional or Roth 401(k). One needs to make assumptions about one’s current and future financial situation. Frankly, those can be tough assumptions to make, but fortunately the argument over Roth vs Traditional is not an exclusive debate! In actuality, a significant number of workers will find that a mix of these savings, for example 50% of 401(k) contributions being allocated to Traditional and 50% to a Roth 401(k) can work out to receive the benefits of both sides, slightly lower taxes now as well as slightly lower taxes in the future!

Here at DWM we work with our clients to ensure that proper analysis through financial planning and tax planning provides us insight into the benefits that each type of 401(k) plan can offer on a case-by-case basis. If you would like to review this information and how it may apply to you in more detail, please feel free to reach out!

https://dwmgmt.com/

A Heart for Splurging: How Budgeting and Expense Tracking can Free Up Your Time & Money

With love in the air on Valentine’s day, endless amounts of consumers will pile into stores, buying up cards, chocolates, or mega-sized teddy bears to share with the ones they love. In fact, on average Valentine’s Day participants will spend $196.31 according to a recent report. With that decent dent coming in each February, Valentine’s Day can help us softly return our eyes to a very important and relevant topic: Budgeting.

I know, that dreaded B-word, and on the most lovey-dovey day of the year! While it may bring a more serious and somber mood associated with the connotations of it, budgeting can and should be viewed in a much lighter and friendly way! Using modern-day technological and analytical methods, we can more easily wrap our arms around what can seem to be an extremely tedious and cumbersome process.

As with so many an established method, modern analysis has found unique and interesting ways to innovate classic solutions. One great example of such innovation is a theory coined as “zero-base budgeting”. In essence, this idea conjectures that all expenses in a set period should be categorized in advance such that each dollar earned should go towards a specific category. For example. If you made $4,000 per month, in a zero-based budget you’d allocate $2,000 for mortgage payments, $500 for food, and let’s say $500 for savings (wouldn’t it be nice if all budgets were this simple?). Now we have each expense labeled out and our income allocated towards them. But wait! We still have $1,000 left unallocated! Instead of leaving this piece out, we need to find a home for this cash to get back to our zero-based goal. So why not allocate this extra funding we found towards a great goal of paying down debt, or if we don’t have any debt, let’s shoot for an emergency fund or perhaps some extra cash for a romantic weekend getaway! Or, let’s say we don’t end up spending all $500 for food at the end of the month. We could roll this forward, or…go out for a nice date night! Using this technique, you’ll have a purpose for each and every dollar, which ensures you put your money to work for you and weeds out those unnecessary expenses that rears its head along the way!

An even simpler and more general rule to work with that incorporates the same principle is the 50/30/20 rule. Essentially, it’s a zero-based budget with your categories capped to three distinct classes: fixed expenses, discretionary spending, and savings/debt payments. Knowing this, our aim with this method is to re-organize and cut down expenses such that each month, your after-tax income is split between the three with the following, intuitive guidelines: 50% of your income goes towards fixed expenses (think insurance or mortgage payments), 30% goes towards discretionary spending (think entertainment or gifting), and 20% is used to pay down debt or build up savings. This last 20% category may be the most important factor to future financial success. By “paying yourself” i.e. saving on a regular basis, you start in motion the power of compounding. Once again, following these guidelines will also give your earnings a direct usage, which builds a baseline for proactive monitoring, instead of looking back and seeing where you overspent or having a non-distinct spending goal. Now you can move through the month and monitor where you are for each category using each method, and be able to adjust your spending accordingly!

Now, I know what you’re thinking: “This is great in theory, but I still have to come home from a long day and tally up all my various receipts, statements, etc. to create this budget, let alone monitor it constantly”! Well, fear not, as this is where the technological advancement pieces become so handy, and make budgeting a breeze! Nowadays, there’s an app for everything, and budgeting is certainly no exception! For example, a small indie firm called Intuit (yeah the same people who make that obscure tax software, what was it called again? NitrousTax?) has a free app for your phone that can help you tackle this project quite a bit. With Intuit Mint, you can create a link to any number of checking or savings accounts, debit or credit cards, or even straight to billing sites! Once all these accounts are linked, transaction data from each will start pouring in, and are automatically categorized for you into several different arenas which fit nicely with the zero-based budgeting plan we discussed! Within the app, you can also set goals for each of these categories and reallocate existing transactions that might have been mislabeled. Now each month, you’ll get a summary of how much you spent in each division, and Mint can also send you a notification when you’re close to exceeding your goal, to keep you right on track. (Additionally this app has some other cool features like credit score sampling and bill pay reminders, all for free!)

Some other apps that work in a similar capacity include EveryDollar, created by the zero-based budget guru Dave Ramsey, which has a free version that performs the same function with a slightly more intuitive user interface, but will require you to manually enter your transactions each month. There are also several others out there on the app market including Monthly Budget Planner & Daily Expense Tracker, BudgetBakers’ Wallet, Spendee, and many others. Each of these have their own unique setup and categorization but accomplish the task of simplifying your budgeting process!

All in all, budgeting is one of the biggest pieces of one’s financial puzzle. Most of the time, our income levels, investment performance, social security or any number of other inputs are not 100% in our control. But one important area, in which we do have total control is our spending, which makes monitoring this area a key to long-term financial success. By using analytical ideologies like zero-based budgeting or software aimed at making the whole process easier to follow-along with, we can take out the stress and time that used to be associated with budgeting, and instead create our own steps to reaching our financial goals whether those are getting out of debt, building long-term wealth, or just buying that rose bouquet for our significant other.

For further advice on budgeting and its ties to our financial planning process, please reach out to us! Happy Valentine’s Day!

https://dwmgmt.com/

Indiana Jones and the Fountain of Wealth

With current markets swirling with questions of trade deals, recessions, inverted yield curves, and various other political and financial uncertainties, should we be fearing a near future “Temple of Doom” scenario like intrepid archaeologist Indiana Jones in the much acclaimed 1984 movie?!? Perhaps we can learn some tidbits of info – clues, per se – from Indy that can help us in our quest for our prized possession: financial serenity, wealth management’s version of the Holy Grail. While this ultimate goal may look a little different for each of us, and the journey this may be wildly different, some of the steps we take will likely be extremely similar, and the clues below, inspired by Indy, can provide some guidance as we take those steps!

Clue #1: Diversifying your arsenal, and your portfolio!

You’ve heard it before. In fact, diversification is a word that has been mentioned so many times in TV and movies that it’s become hard to think about investing without discussing how diversified one’s portfolio is. We’re here to tell you that this relationship makes sense! Various studies have shown over the years that having a well-diversified portfolio can significantly benefit investors in the long run.

Figure 1: Hypothetical Growth of $100,000 showing Diversified versus Undiversified Portfolio*

As shown in Figure 1, having a globally allocated, well-diversified portfolio made up of investments that have low correlation to one another, with pieces of each being from the equity, fixed income, and “nontraditional investments” (or alternatives), can help investors try to protect their assets during market downturns, and participate in market upswings. Much like Indy’s arsenal of guns, knives, and his famous whip protected him, using multiple asset class holdings with low correlations can protect investors’ portfolios from extreme danger.

Clue #2: Be Educated!

As a professor of archaeology at Marshall College, Indy’s extensive years of research have provided him a wealth of knowledge to work off of when he begins each search for ancient (and sometimes alien) artifacts. Despite this, he learns quite a bit along the way on his quests that leads to his success in discovering these items. Much like Indy, our pathways to financial health and peace often seem clouded in mystery, and are often filled with confusing directions and puzzles that can lead us astray from the path to our goals. These puzzles and directions, luckily, can be illuminated in most cases by educating one’s self in the complex and intricate business of finance! Whether it’s subjects of Arks, mysterious stones, or crystal skulls, a.k.a. topics of investments, insurance and taxes in finance terms, a little bit of knowledge can go a long way towards creating the ever important map to the desired goal! Blogs like these help our clients become educated and better prepared for the financial journey ahead!

Clue #3: A Little Help From Our Friends

No matter which adventure he’s on, Indy always has a crew of fellow explorers with him to help on his search. Each play their own integral role in supporting his journey as he brushes with Nazis, Russians, and Thuggee cults. In a similar manner, wealth managers like DWM can act as your “Short Round” (an ally) in your continual journey to financial serenity and success, helping guide you through the sometimes dark and perplexing pathways. Our expertise in these “ruins” of sorts can assist with dodging the pitfalls in your financial plans and portfolios.

With or without headlines coming out about recessions or inversions or trade deals or anything else, by following these three clues, and sticking to them for the long-term, an investor can create a stable pathway to success. Just as Indy never gives up on his quests, neither should we.  Our steps may alter in ways over our lives, from accumulating wealth, to protecting it, and then to financially planning for our legacies, but each of these has the underlying pursuit for peace of mind. Please feel free to reach out to DWM if you have any questions about how we can accompany you on your hunt.

*Source: https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/insights/content/why-global-diversification-matters

EQUIFAX’S BIG PAYBACK: SHOULD YOU FILE A CLAIM?

It was just two short years ago when Equifax went public with the realization that access to about 150 million users had been obtained by a third party still unknown to top security officials. Without knowing the perpetrators, motive behind this breach has yet to be concluded, generating worries about criminals using the identities stolen to cash in through the sale of said data or something more nefarious, including spy scandals.

While advanced cyber security and dark web professionals sift through to try and find the data, Equifax has been trying (and being forced to) make up for their mistake with the millions of Americans whose information was violated. On July 22nd, 2019, the Federal Trade Commission, in conjunction with several other agencies and all 50 states, agreed in court to a settlement of roughly $700MM to be paid out in reparations to those affected by the breach in accordance with allegations that the company did not provide and monitor security measures to protect against this attack. This is on record as the largest settlement ever dished out for a data breach in U. S. history.

Of that $700 million dollars, at least $300 million is to be used to offer the plaintiffs access to years of free credit monitoring service in order to ensure that any data stolen from Equifax during the breach was not used to steal individual’s identities, and also allows for free credit freezes as well for those who are more concerned. The other payout option they provided was $125 for anyone who files a claim for it. An extremely small payout on an individual level considering the fortunes that could be lost if a person’s identity was indeed stolen, but still a payment nonetheless. Should you file for one of these checks?

Well, unfortunately, Equifax has turned around and in the blink of an eye, stating that the amount of people filing for this $125 payment has surpassed the allocated funds for paybacks. According to the FTC, “because of high interest in the alternative cash payment under the settlement, consumers who choose this option might end up getting far less than $125”. Beyond the fact that this amount may be smaller in scope than originally planned on, the filing process isn’t as easy as filling out a form. Instead, those who file are required to gather documents related to the hack that show losses, and provide ancillary information and documents in the process of filing your claim. Many of those who have started the process are turned off by the fact that they need to proceed in presenting further information to the company that they already don’t trust to keep their information safe, and several scammers have set up websites to further deceive you into entering personal information. However, regardless of all these issues, millions have, and are continuing to file their claims which will remain open until January 22, 2020.

While the $125 (or likely much less) payment option may not be the best call, the alternative option for free credit reporting, monitoring, and freezing is catching on with some of those affected. Included in this package is free credit reporting, most importantly from all three major credit bureaus, which in theory is worth “hundreds of dollars a year” according to Robert Schoshinski, the assistant director for the FTC’s Division of Privacy and Identity Protection. To add to this value, included in the credit reporting is up to $1 million dollars in identity theft insurance and individualized identity restoration services. All in all, this secondary option may not be the source of direct money in your pocket, but rather can save you huge amounts of money in the case that something malicious were to occur as a result of this breach.

Here at DWM, we are always monitoring ways we can protect our clients, and we will continue to do so. While Equifax may not be giving out the $125 check anymore, free credit monitoring might be a very nice way to go if you’re willing to go through the process of filing a claim. This can essentially mean spending five to ten minutes of your time for 10 years’ worth of peace of mind, and roughly $2,400 worth of value ($20 per month of monitoring for 10 years). While it may seem like pocket change in comparison to the value of the data stolen from you, this can definitely serve as great protection in the case that any of this information is fraudulently used in the future.

 

If you would like to file a claim, please visit Equifax’s claim website: https://www.equifaxbreachsettlement.com/file-a-claim

Your Digital Footprint: How to Protect your Virtual Footprint

The new digital age has seen the onset of countless new conveniences whether through online shopping, banking, entertainment, or social networking. We can now order food and have it delivered to our door, transfer money at the push of a button, and video chat with friends and family that are halfway around the world. Through all these advancements, however, one thing stays the same, the necessity of virtual security. With all these new apps and websites to use comes the addition of endless different passwords to ensure the safety of personal information, with some sites even forcing you to make a new password every x months as an extra layer of security. All in all, this builds up quite the “portfolio” of digital “assets” that can sometimes get confusing. Now, it may not be a comfortable topic, but in the case of the death or incapacity of the owner of these digital accounts, add another layer of complication, as family members now have to weed through various accounts to consolidate their estate.

The good news is that the same advancements in technology that brought around all these security features, questions, passwords, etc. are the same ones that provide a solution here. Available widely on the web are numerous different password vaults and managers that will allow users to store all of this information in one spot. Applications such as LastPass, True Key, Zoho Vault, 1Password and many others all can accomplish this purpose of simplifying this complicated web of components down to something that is easily manageable. Any new website or service you use can easily add log-in information or notes so that if you ever need to log-in and can’t remember your information, the application will do it for you!

These applications also offer the option to designate “digital heirs” that in the case something happens to the user, these vaults can be passed along and not locked permanently! In this manner, those handling the estate can easily gain access to all the accounts necessary all in one place.

In the case that you’d prefer to simply write down all of your log-in information and other important online details in a notebook or binder, which is sufficient, just make sure to let someone know where that “book” is and how to access it! We at DWM have actually put together a document that can help to organize this all in one written location including other important estate information such as the location of trust documents, powers of attorney, etc. Please feel free to use it if you’d prefer the traditional paper copy!

One additional step beyond providing access to your accounts to your digital “executor” is actually letting them know what to do with the accounts. For instance, if you’d prefer your Facebook to be set to “memorialized” which will effectively make the account inactive, but allow family and friends to continue to post memories and stories on the page versus closing it out entirely. Also actively selecting if you’d like certain digital assets to go to certain heirs, for example if you would want your grandson to receive your illustrious Fortnite account or your daughter to receive the log-in for your online knitting chat group, you can designate those wishes either in the password manager app or in your notebook. That way there will be no confusion or argument over who gets what when the time comes to distribute those assets.

As an added layer of protection, the right to digital assets can be specified in a trust document drawn up by an estate planning attorney for those with more complicated situations that need specific direction. These specifications usually outline the power of the successor trustees to access, view, modify or make use of any electronic accounts including those financial sites that are used.

To summarize, from Uber to Schwab to Amazon to Facebook and many, many more, the necessity to build a plan to preserve our digital legacy for when “the time comes” is imperative. Using these plans can ease the transition for your loved ones to get their arms around your digital assets and secure your legacy properly. At DWM, we would encourage you to get these items in order to make things easier on you and your loved ones in the future, hopefully a long time down the road.

Leverage for the Next Generations: How to Build Credit Effectively

According to a study done by Sallie Mae recently, the younger generations, from teens to young adults, are much more likely to make payments by debit card, cash, or mobile transfer (Venmo, Paypal), than by credit card. In fact, only around 50% of them have credit cards at all. This statistic is leaving some analysts, like those at Fortune magazine (Bloomberg) wondering if credit cards will soon go the way of the video store or Toys R Us. But what are some possible reasons for this shift away from debt lending instruments in young adults, and what lessons can they learn to ensure that picking one up doesn’t lead them to further financial struggles?

One of the big reasons that can easily be identified as an answer to the first question is the looming student loan debt floating over most of those adults’ heads. The average student leaving college in 2017 had roughly $28,650 in student loan debt. On top of this, about 11% of outstanding student loans were 90 days or more delinquent or in default. With the risks of this debt compiling and carrying out, students and young people entering the workforce are less concerned about credit scores and more concerned on making sure they can pay their monthly loan amount, on top of any other recurring expenses. However, the one piece of good news coming out of paying these student loans is that by doing so, one can build up significant credit that will help take the place of missing out on credit card payments. While this avenue won’t leave much room to start borrowing to buy discretionary items, making these payments on time and for the right amount will allow young folk to build a strong credit foundation for the future.

In addition to student loans, many other issues impede those looking to get a credit card early. In 2009, the Credit Card Accountability Responsibility and Disclosure Act set forth a precedent that banks needed to have more stringent policies with which they lend money, including not offering credit cards to anyone under the age of 21 without a co-signer or proof of income. Even if these are available, with little to no credit history available, some will be turned down for credit card offers. However, most companies offer some sort of secured debt instruments at the least which ask for a deposit upfront as a collateral credit limit. These will allow those with low or new credit scores to earn it while keeping the banks/credit card companies from being at risk. One additional method for those who choose not to use these types of cards is simply to be added as an authorized user on a parent’s credit card. While at a slower pace, this can help out a young person get started even if they don’t use it at all.

Additionally, once their credit is established and starts going in the right direction, they must remain diligent to avoid having what they worked for diminished. There are many different factors that go into a person’s score, however following some key principles will be more than enough to continue pushing this score up:

  1. Use 30% max of the allowed total credit line. This 30% rule is used to ensure that one’s spending habits are in-line with how much they can borrow.
  2. Pay all bills on time. Either through setting up auto-pay or keeping a calendar with important payment deadlines written down, this is one of the most important factors.
  3. Continue using the debt instrument. Even if it’s only being used to pay for small monthly charges or gas bills, continuing to use the card will build up credit.
  4. Pay as much as is feasible. The balance set on the card is not nearly as important as the fact that it’s being used. In order to keep interest down (some go as high as 17%!), one should pay off as much of the balance as they can each month. This is especially important since roughly 25% of millennials have carried a credit card debt for over a year!

All in all, younger generations of people have sincere trepidation when it comes to using credit cards or any other item causing them to incur more debt than they’ve already been exposed to through student loans. They’re still fearful, having grown up through the Great Recession, and face several hurdles even if they decide to pursue getting a credit card. However, once they have them, and through loans, they can still build up a reasonable credit score and attain their financial dreams by remaining diligent and following advice like those points listed above. Please let us know if you have any questions on the above information for you, your family, or your friends.

THE PIONEER OF INDEX INVESTING: JOHN BOGLE’S LEGACY

John C. Bogle was one of the most recognized and respected names in the investment community when he passed away this January. His research and intellect drove him to found one of the world’s largest investment companies, Vanguard, which operates as a leader in cost-efficient, diversified mutual fund and ETF markets.

And how did Vanguard get to be such an influential company in the marketplace? Among many other factors, it stemmed from John Bogle’s view of the financial landscape, and how he could make it better for investors. In 1974, when John first started Vanguard, he brought with him a passion for affordable, smart investing; he theorized that in a market that consisted solely of active managers seeking to beat benchmarks, he could succeed by simply being the benchmark (or closely following it). From this, he would generate the strategy of index investing, which consists of passively managing a fund that closely mirrors a common index, such as the S&P 500, the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate, or many others. This development revolutionized the investment industry by letting investors participate in the market without paying expensive management fees that go towards attempting to beat the market. Instead of paying operating expense ratios (which represents all management fees and operating expenses for a security) of somewhere on average of 0.5% to 2.5% or higher for an actively managed mutual fund, these passive index funds on average have operating expense ratios of only 0.2%! As a result, investors returns would no longer be dulled from these high management costs.

His unique and interesting idea soon caught on. In fact, as of today, these index followers now make up 43% of all stock funds in the market! Index funds seemingly create an opportunity for anyone to jump in and be a part of the markets with little to no investment costs, almost complete transparency, and simplicity, which has led to their widespread popularity, all because of John Bogle’s innovative mind.

Beyond this, John was an active member in the community, often sharing his opinion and advice through his speeches and TV appearances, and brought with him a great deal of philanthropy through his service work and his charity (notably donating much of his salary to charities).

All encompassing, John Bogle was a great man that will be missed in the world as a whole. However, he did leave behind a legacy of inspirational writings, teachings, and actions that we can all learn from. He also left behind the core ideas of his investment philosophy:

  • A focus on simplicity in investment strategy
  • The reductions of costs and expenses
  • Consideration of the long-term investment horizon
  • A reliance on rational analysis and an avoidance of emotions in the investment decision-making process
  • The universality of index investing as an appropriate strategy for individual investors

At DWM, we keep all of these, as well as many other factors, in mind when we develop our portfolios and investment strategies. While we always attempt to keep transaction costs down, we are also always looking at the other options in the market to reduce costs, increase portfolio simplicity, and maximize diversity to protect our clients first and participate in market earnings second.

Furthermore, we analyze all holdings as well as client allocations to ensure their long-term goals are achievable not only through their portfolios, but also through our various other value-added DWM services such as tax planning, estate planning collaboration, risk management reviews, etc. Through these, we hope to put our clients’ long-term financial plans in focus, and help ease their worries about the market and their economic situation.

While we and countless others inside and outside of this industry mourn John’s passing, we also seek to celebrate his life and his impact on our lives. And we believe the best way we can do this is to embrace some of these ideals John shared with us, through helping our clients manager their financial plans and keep their long-term goals on track through simple, low-cost, efficient investment choices.

A True Halloween Scare: Volatility Returns to the Marketplace

Recently, we here at DWM posted a blog discussing the phenomenon that “Bull Market Runs Come in All Lengths”. Within this article, we mentioned the idea that before our current bull run ends, we may see many more pullbacks and/or corrections.

Within the current month, we have seen these types of market downturns as investor fears of upcoming mid-term elections, tariffs, rising rates,  and international economic slow-down issues have spiked levels of consumer fear (measured by the volatility index, VIX), by nearly 50% .

While this data can’t tell us whether the current bull market run is coming to an end, it opens up the opportunity to better understand just what is happening in the economy, and how we should handle times like these.

To understand the severity of market moves, there are three unique distinctions: a pullback, a correction, and a bear market, which signify downward market moves of 5%, 10%, and 20% respectively.

Over the past month, securities within all asset classes – equities, fixed income, and alternatives – have experienced one of these. On October 23rd, in fact, over 40% of the stocks in the S&P 500 were considered to be in bear market territory. Since then, markets have continued their run of ups and downs.

What can this market data tell us about the future? Unfortunately, not much. While markets tend to be cyclical in nature over the long-term, the short-term is usually marred by emotions (herd mentality, greed, and fear) rather than by solid fundamental and economic modeling. Furthermore, the risk of attempting to predict these short-term outcomes can have a serious long-term effect on the performance of an investor. Studies have shown that by missing out on only a few days strong returns in a market cycle can drastically impact the portfolio’s overall return.

Thus, in order to stay on track with long-term financial goals, one of the most successful and least anxiety-inducing ways to manage investments is to generate a financial plan, assess and re-assess risk tolerance regularly, and continually stay disciplined to these values in order to avoid making emotional and poor decisions. In conjunction with these actions, an investment portfolio needs both an appropriate asset allocation based on a client’s financial plan and has to be made up of a well-diversified portfolio that can help provide exposure to market areas, such as fixed income and alternatives, that are arenas that may still produce returns even with stocks stuck in a slowdown. The combination of these strategies can work as shields to protect both an investor’s assets, and his/her mental health during times of volatility such as today’s challenging marketplace.

At times, corrections, pullbacks, and even bear markets can actually be good things! If certain areas of the market are being overvalued, or company valuations are getting ahead of their fundamentals, pullbacks and corrections can serve as a check and balance system, to get these more in line. This makes companies, sectors, and markets more stable as they can refresh a bull market that is verging on inflating itself beyond its means.

Furthermore, a pullback, correction, or bear market move down for a certain security can provide other opportunities. For example, this month, DWM will be creating value for clients by taking advantage of tax-loss harvesting options. Tax-loss harvesting is the process of selling out of a security that has lost value since an investor first bought it, and using that loss to offset any gains that an investor realized during a tax year. This upside can serve as a nice treat to offset the “trick”-y investment arena of October.

One other somewhat notable factoid is that in the mid-term election year of October 2014, the stock market took a noticeably similar look. That of the Dow Jones down nearly 3%, rebounding, and selling off throughout, ultimately dropping into correction territory. This was quickly followed by a November post-election market boom hitting record highs for the Dow and S&P 500. Once again, while interesting to see, take these numbers with a grain of salt moving forward and looking at future returns.

All in all, keeping in mind that while volatility and uncertainty in the marketplace can be scary, maintaining a balanced, disciplined portfolio and financial plan, and staying dedicated to that plan throughout all market cycles is the key to being financially sound and minimizing the number of sleepless nights. At DWM, we proactively discuss these matters with clients, and strive to keep our clients informed, motivated, and on-target to their financial plans to help them reach their long-term financial goals. Happy Halloween!